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President Obama to Robert Kuttner: Recovery Before Deficit Reduction

by: Michael Conrad

Sat Dec 05, 2009 at 19:00:57 PM EST


Ryan Grim's report on President Obama's response to a question Robert Kuttner asked at Thursday's White House Jobs Summit is very encouraging.  

For a while it looked like the Obama Administration was on the verge of making a huge mistake -- putting the Beltway's deficit fetish ahead of recovery.  But the president's answer suggest otherwise.

Michael Conrad :: President Obama to Robert Kuttner: Recovery Before Deficit Reduction
From Grim's report:

Worries about Obama's willingness to keep spending is rooted in President Franklin Delano Roosevelt's experience. In 1937, FDR bowed to deficit hawks and cut spending, jerking the economy back into what became known as the recession-within-the Depression or, alternatively, the Roosevelt Recession.

From the transcript:

THE PRESIDENT:  Robert, you had your hand up.  Wait for the mic, so everybody can hear you.

Q    You know, most of the things that have been proposed today cost money.  And there is this concern about the federal deficit.  I hope that your administration will recognize, as I know you will, that it's possible, first of all, to reduce the deficit over time and sometimes in the short run realize that you need to increase the deficit.  I hope the concern about the deficit in the long run doesn't crowd out the need for additional spending in the short run.

And I also think that some of these programs that increase jobs and increase GDP are probably the fastest way to get the economy back on a track that will reduce the deficit over time.  It's certainly a better way to reduce the deficit than putting ourselves into a debtor's prison, and assume we can deflate our way to recovery.

THE PRESIDENT:  Well, I think this is an important point.  We have been talking a lot about specific initiatives.  There is a macroeconomic element to this whole thing, and so let me just amplify what was just said.  We have a structural deficit that is real and growing, apart from the financial crisis.  We inherited it.

...

You then layer on top of that the huge loss of tax revenue as a consequence of the financial crisis, and the greater demands for unemployment insurance and so forth.  That's another layer.  Probably the smallest layer is actually what we did in terms of the Recovery Act.  I think there is a misperception out there that somehow the Recovery Act caused these deficits.  No.  I mean, we had -- we've got a 9-point-something trillion-dollar deficit.  Maybe a trillion dollars of it can be attributed to both the Recovery Act as well as the cleanup work that we had to do in terms of the banks.

...

Now, if we can't grow our economy, then it is going to be that much harder for us to reduce the deficit.  The single most important thing we could do right now for deficit reduction is to spark strong economic growth, which means that people who've got jobs are paying taxes, and businesses that are making profits have taxes, are paying taxes.  That's the most important thing we can do.  We understand that in this administration.  That's not always the dialogue that's going on out there in public, and we're going to have to do a better job of educating the public on that.

The last thing we would want to do in the midst of a -- what is a weak recovery, is us to essentially take more money out of the system either by raising taxes or by drastically slashing spending.  And frankly, because state and local governments generally don't have the capacity to engage in deficit spending, some of that obligation falls on the federal government.

Steve Benen:

[T]his off-the-cuff response suggests the president is thinking about the issue the right way. "If we can't grow our economy, then it is going to be that much harder for us to reduce the deficit." The more Obama emphasizes this simple concept, the better off we'll be.

The prospect of the Obama Administration and Congressional Democrats doing what is clearly needed, instead of merely settling for what outdated conventional wisdom says is doable, is an exciting one.  This situation demands bold action, and that is what the Democratic coalition should strongly push for and organize around.  Neither Conservadems in the Senate or Rubin Acolytes advising the Obama Administration should be allowed to get in the way.  Far too much is at stake

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